
Bitcoin’s remarkable rally in 2024 Stunned the world, but just hours away from the arrival of the New Year, the rally seems to be stalling.
Cryptocurrency, which grew to one Record high of $108,000 The stock was trading at $93,670 early Monday in New York, down 16% from its high in mid-December.
Smaller tokens like Ether and meme favorite Dogecoin have also struggled to gain popularity in recent times.
BTC rally boosted by US election results due to President-elect Donald Trump Favorable attitude towards cryptocurrencies,
Investors bet on the cryptocurrency, spurred by Trump’s proposals to create a national Bitcoin reserve and ease the regulatory environment for crypto firms.
A month later, he named paul atkins As the new Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman, Joe will replace Gary Gensler, who is known for taking over a hundred actions against crypto firms during his tenure.
However, enthusiasm has gradually diminished as expectations of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cut have cooled, which has cooled speculative activity in the financial markets.
Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone Group, cited the outflows from exchange-traded funds focused on cryptocurrencies as evidence of this bearishness, saying that Bitcoin has had “a lot of momentum post-election”.
At the same time, MicroStrategy, the software company that became a Bitcoin accumulator, has been on a Shopping spree in recent weeks,
With more than $40 billion in Bitcoin holdings, the company is being closely watched by traders, who anticipate regular announcements of new purchases.
Invez takes a look at several aspects that could shape Bitcoin’s price trajectory in 2025, and several milestones it could potentially hit:
BTC 2025 Outlook: Experts Believe
Despite the current disruption, analysts remain largely optimistic about the future of Bitcoin.
Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy Digital, dismissed the recent pullback as a temporary setback.
Thorne estimates that Bitcoin will surpass $150,000 in the first half of 2025 and potentially “test or best” $185,000 by the end of that year.
“The combination of institutional, corporate, and nation state adoption will take Bitcoin to new heights in 2025,” Thorne wrote.
Throughout its existence, Bitcoin has appreciated faster than all other asset classes, especially the S&P 500 and gold, and this trend will continue in 2025.
Not all market observers agree with this bullish outlook.
XS.com analyst Rania Gule warned on Monday that Bitcoin could fall to $85,000 in the near term due to the expiration of about $14 billion worth of options contracts.
Blockware’s Scenarios for BTC’s 2025 Price
Blockware Research has outlined three possible trajectories for Bitcoin’s price in 2025 based on macroeconomic and policy developments:
Bear Case: Bitcoin could rise modestly to $150,000, and this scenario would occur if the Fed kept interest rates high for a long time, and long-term holders began to aggressively sell their Bitcoins.
The bull-run could also be hindered by the Trump administration’s failure to act on the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Plan.
Base Case: Bitcoin has reached $225,000, supported by the Federal Reserve rate cut, steady corporate adoption, and the establishment of Bitcoin as a US reserve asset through the SBR initiative.
Bull Case: Fueled by ultra-dovish Federal Reserve policies, accelerated corporate adoption, and a significant expansion of the US government’s Bitcoin reserves, Bitcoin has surged to $400,000.
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